National Security Scenario Analysis

June 22, 2017

Intelligence failure on Maute Group attack

SITUATION In the siege that began May 23rd, the Manila Supreme Court Associate Justice Mariano Del Castilo said the Maute group attack in Marawi City was a as a result of “total” intelligence failure by the military. This statement came during the second day, Wednesday 14th June, oral arguments on...


January 27, 2016

Islamic State Paris-Style Attacks will go Global, Europol Reports

SITUATION Rob Wainwright, the head of Europol, the Hague-based organization that coordinates EU policing efforts over terrorism and organized crime, has recently reported that the Islamic State (IS) is actively focusing its attention on conducting large-scale attacks in Europe similar to those last year in Paris. The pattern of terror...


December 16, 2015

Terror Arrests Reach Record Level in U.K

SITUATION According to the U.K Home Office quarterly bulletin, 315 terror suspects – a record high – have been arrested in the U.K in the past year, with confirmed seven terror plots on U.K-soil known to be thwarted. The 31 percent rise in the number of suspects arrested for international-related...